Sunday, September 12, 2004

Hurricane Ivan Part II

It looks as if my Mom and Dad are coming through once again. Ivan seems to have taken a slight turn toward the west which takes it away from the Florida coast. We'll still see some effect, but hopefully less than if it had taken the earlier path. Fox just reported that a still more westerly turn is anticipated. Good for Tampa and points south.

I don't want it to hit anywhere, but it looks like Cuba is the immediate target right now. After it leaves Cuba, there will be plenty of time for Ivan to re-organize and re-generate the energy he lost over Cuba. I remember a storm back in the 60's, can't remember the name, that hung over the mountains in Cuba for something like 5 days. We said that it got caught in Castro's beard and couldn't get loose.

The best of all worlds would be for it to suddenly fall apart and become nothing more than a rainshower. Ain't gonna happen, but that would be the best. Next best thing would be for it to go into an isolated area of Mexico. I'm sure there would be towns and villages that would be flooded and maybe devastated or even destroyed. I don't want that and definitely don't want any more loss of life, but the more desolate area, the less damage.

Most people don't realize that Pinellas County is on a penisula and Tampa is actually on the east side of Tampa Bay from St. Petersburg. Any hurricane would hit St. Pete first, then Tampa. Being on the penisula, all of Pinellas County would be subject to storm surge. As low as it already is, the results would not be pretty.

Here are a couple or three cool links: Hurricane Hunters (courtesy of Florida Cracker), and the National Hurricane Center and the Tropical Weather Page at Weather Underground (courtesy of PaperFrog).

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